Capital Group buys Tiger Airways shares
by admin on Jan.11, 2011, under Fund Manager Picks, News
Fund manager Capital Group has increased its shareholdings in Singapore budget carrier Tiger Airways through an open market purchase of 4.1 million Tiger Airways shares over a one-month period. The purchases were made between 6 Dec 2010 and 4 Jan 2011 but the fund manager did not disclose the prices at which the shares were bought.
Tiger Airways also announced that it carried 555,000 passengers last month, up 22% from the same month a year earlier. Tiger Airways currently trades at $1.81 in the Singapore Stock Exchange.
CSE Global – Acquisition of ASTIB Group
by admin on Dec.29, 2010, under Buy Calls, Outperform, Stock Picks
CIMB maintained its Outperform call on CSE Global with lower target price of S$1.61 (from S$1.71), based on 10x CY12 P/E, 10% premium over 5-year average for management quality (previously 12x CY12 P/E, based on 5-year international peer average). CSE Global had just announced the acquisition of 100% of ASTIB Group Pte Ltd (ASTIB) for an initial consideration of A$34.9m or S$46.7m, comprising A$30m cash and 5m new shares issue (S$1.27/share). Upon meeting certain profit targets for 2011 and 2012, up to an additional 15m shares will be paid, giving a maximum consideration of S$64.7m. CIMB’s EPS estimates for CSE Global have been lifted by 6-13% for FY11-12, factoring in contributions from ASTIB and maximum shares dilution. They see stock catalysts from higher-thanexpected orders and accretive acquisitions.
Global Logistic Properties – Analyst Calls
by admin on Dec.27, 2010, under Buy Calls, Overweight Calls, Stock Picks
Analysts are generally positive over Global Logistic Properties’ (GLP) announced acquisition of a 19.9 % stake in Shenzhen Chiwan Petroleum Supply Base Co (SCPSB). They opine that the S$90 million (HK$539.2 million) price tag is reasonable and will create synergies for both companies. The acquisition is to be done through GLP’s wholly owned subsidiary, China Logistics Holding. According to GLP’s announcement, SCPSB reported a net profit of 112 million yuan (S$22 million) during the last fiscal year, with a net profit margin of 34 per cent. The HK$539.2 million price tag that GLP is paying for SCPSB, works out to HK$11.75 per acquired share, and is a 1.4 discount to SCPSB’s HK$11.92 closing price on Dec 21. GLP stated that it would use proceeds from its recent initial public offering (IPO) to pay for the acquisition.
SCPSB is the parent company of China logistic facilities player BLOGIS. BLOGIS is the 2nd largest logistics facilities player in China after GLP. According to a GLP statement, BLOGIS owns 12 properties at eight key logistics hubs in China spanning cities such as Shanghai, Tianjin and Chengdu. Their assets currently comprises 6 completed logistics properties (total gross floor area (GFA) of 620,000 sq m), 2 properties under construction (total GFA of 160,000 sq m) and 4 parcels of land banks (with planned GFA of 370,000 sq m).
JP Morgan kept its Overweight call on GLP with a target price of $2.90. JP Morgan notes that as SCPSB also owns businesses in the offshore petroleum logistic and offshore engineering sectors, the SCPSB acquisition would add to the proposed acquisition of a 53 per cent stake in another major developer of modern logistics facilities in China and further cement the group’s leadership position in China.
Citi Investment Research also has a Buy call on the stock with a target price of $2.80. Citi opined that the acquisition demonstrated GLP management’s ‘ability at acquiring prime logistics properties at reasonable cost’. They added that though the deal was unlikely to have a large impact on GLP’s earnings, the deal will nonetheless link China’s two largest modern logistic facilities providers, and create synergies. Said Citi: “Although the initial net asset value/earnings impact does not look significant, we believe their cooperation should help the combined group dominate their market share in China.
This would make it difficult for potential newcomers, including ProLogis which could re-enter the China market after February 2011, to catch up with GLP’s scale in China.” The acquisition announcement comes on the heels of recent reports that GLP failed to reveal in its IPO prospectus that it had a non-compete agreement with United States-based rival ProLogis, which was due to expire in February 2011. Under the non-compete agreement, ProLogis cannot acquire or develop logistic distribution facilities in China until February 2011. In return, GLP undertakes not do the same in the Japanese market. GLP had since replied that the non-compete agreement was ‘not material’ to its business and thus did not need to be disclosed in its prospectus.
GLP – whose majority shareholder is the Government of Singapore Investment Corporation – raised $3.9 billion in its October IPO (priced at $1.96), making it Singapore’s largest IPO since Singapore Telecommunications (SingTel) listed in 1993. In November 2010, GLP announced that net profit for its second quarter more than trebled to US$85.4 million from a year ago. This came on the back of higher rental income as it increased its leasable space in China. A revaluation gain and a stronger yen also helped to push up earnings. Revenue for the period ended Sept 30 increased 14 per cent to US$113.3 million from $99.8 million. On 24 Dec 2010, GLP’s share price closed up 0.9%, or two cents, at $2.18.
Wilmar Ventures into Property – Analyst Calls
by admin on Dec.23, 2010, under Buy Calls, Stock Picks
Wilmar International Limited announced that its wholly-own subsidiary had entered into a master joint venture agreement with Kerry Properties and Shangri-La China Limited, to establish one or more joint venture companies for Wilmar’s foray into real-estate.
Besides the news, Wilmar had also entered into an agreement with PZ Cussons Plc to establish 2 joint ventures (JV) in Nigeria. One deals with palm oil refinery while the other is a branded consumer edible oils, spreads and margarines business in which Wilmar will have a 51% and 49% stake respectively.
Analyst’s Calls
Phillip Capital upgraded their recommendation to a Buy call with a target price of $7.08.
DMG was however negative on Wilmar’s entry into the property market as it is Wilmar’s first ever deviation from its core agribusiness. They feared that this could spell the start of a loss in business focus for Wilmar. However, they still maintained their Buy call as they viewed Wilmar to be relatively inexpensive.
SembCorp Marine – DBS Maintains Buy Call
by admin on Dec.22, 2010, under Buy Calls, Stock Picks
22 Dec 2010 – DBS Group Research maintained their Buy call on SembCorp Marine with a target price of $6.08. SembCorp Marine currently trades at $4.99 on the Singapore Stock Exchange (SGX). The company recently bagged 2 new jack ups contracts worth US$400m with options for 4 more that could bring total contract cost to US$800m. If all jack ups options are exercised, the contract could potentially be worth US$1.2bn. This is positive news for the company.
With more than $2.7bn orders to date, SembCorp Marine is also expected to be well-positioned for more wins ahead. Jack ups prices are also rising in view of strong market demands. The price escalation is favorable for SembCorp Marine.
SATS – Mixed calls from analysts
by admin on Dec.21, 2010, under Outperform, Stock Picks, Underperform
21 Dec 2010 – Phillip Securities maintained their Buy call on SATS after it announced that it had completed its 50.7% acquisition of TDK. They maintained a target price of $3.48 as they expect TDK to contribute positively to Group sales.
On the other hand, CIMB gave an Underperform call on the stock with a target price of $2.42. They cited rich valuations compared to historical valuations as well as risks in competition from other ground handling operators.
Singapore Property Companies – Industry Focus by DBS Group Research
by admin on Dec.16, 2010, under Property
November residential sales surged 79% mom to proof another record breaking year even as 2010 comes to a close. More than 2000 units were sold in November, the strongest result since cooling measures were introduced to the property market.
In the high end segment, interest seems to be picking up as previous launches such as Paterson Suites, The Trizon, and The Laurels saw renewed buying interest. Home in the Central Region and Outside Central Region continue to sell well too with the top 3 projects having more than 200 units sold. They include Keppel Land’s The Lakefront residences, Sim Lian Group’s Waterview and UOL’s Spottiswood Residences.
While policy risk still remains a factor, the price increases in the mass market segment has already seen some moderation.
DBS Group Research prefers companies with greater office exposure and laggards such as Keppel Land, UOL and Singland which have the largest office content in their RNAV.
They also have a Buy rating on Capitaland and Ho Bee.
China Animal Healthcare – Maintain Buy
by admin on Dec.16, 2010, under Buy Calls, Stock Picks
Phillip Capital maintained its Buy Call on China Animal Healthcare (CAL) with a target price of $0.48. The news is that CAL announced non-cash adjustment of RMB5m expenses to its 3Q10 net profit. Minimal impact is expected based on the latest adjustments due to the non-cash nature as a result of accounting treatment for the convertible bonds. With regards to HK listing, trading of CAL shares is scheduled to commence on 21 Dec 2010.
Phillip Capital – Strategy for 2011
by admin on Dec.16, 2010, under Buy Calls, Overweight Calls, Stock Picks
Phillip Capital issued their strategy call for 2011. As they predict that we are in a mid-cycle expansion, the focus should be on Basic materials and capital goods.
Stock picks include Noble and SunVic for the sector focus on basic materials. Noble ($2.11) is chosen because of its 27% projected earnings growth for FY11. For Sunvic($0.605), it is a leading chemicals producer in China, and they believe that there is further upside as the stock deserves a re-rating.
For capital goods, the stock picks include Cosco, SembMarine, Keppel Corp, SembCorp, Sunpower and Renewable Energy Asia.
Other stocks with good growth potential include SATS, China Sunsine, Ziwo and SinoGrandness.
OCBC – Market Strategy 2011
by admin on Dec.15, 2010, under Buy Calls, Neutral Calls, Overweight Calls, Stock Picks
OCBC issued its market strategy for 2011. It maintained its Overweight call on the oil and gas sector and also initiated a first ever Overweight for the healthcare sector. It also downgraded its Overweight on the telecommunications sector to neutral.
Its top picks for 2011 are Ascott Residence Trust, Biosensors International, Capitaland, DBS ,Ezra, Genting, Hyflux, Pac Andes, Keppel Corp, Mapletree Logisitics Trust, Noble, Olam, Semb Corp Marine, StarHub, UOB, UOL, Venture Corp.